My experience with LC and moderate carb weightloss has been similar, so I agree with you.
The difference for me is all about mood. Yesterday and today I had between 100 and 150g carbs. I was happy and energetic. On Monday (before the binge), after 5.5 days of LC, I was really down. Add hormones, lack of sleep and stress and you have my personal recipe for disaster.
This morning, I ate a whole potato with my breakfast. It was awesome. I have plowed through a ton of work at school.
As far as looking for carbs at night, my best defense has been the 40-50 gram of protein breakfast. I have no idea why it works, but it does for all but my worst days.